
The International Organization for Migration (IOM) has warned that extreme flooding driven by the El Ni o phenomenon could displace more than 800,000 people in Somalia over the next three months. In a joint projection with the Danish Refugee Council, the UN migration agency estimated that approximately 874,319 individuals may be forced to flee their homes between October and December. Flooding is expected to be the primary driver of this movement, accounting for an estimated 92% of all displacements during this period.
Manuel Marques Pereira, the IOM's chief of mission in Somalia, emphasized that immediate international funding is critical to mitigate the humanitarian costs of the impending disaster. While the agency has outlined a strategy to assist at-risk populations and prepare for the surge in displacement, it currently faces a significant financial shortfall. Of the $16.62 million required for essential preparations and emergency response, only 14% of the necessary funds have been secured so far. This lack of resources threatens to hinder efforts to provide shelter, clean water, and food to those likely to be uprooted by the rising waters.
The warning comes as early signs of flooding are already becoming visible in parts of the country, signaling the onset of what could be a devastating rainy season. Humanitarian organizations are calling for urgent support to bolster response capacities before the most severe weather arrives. The projected displacement highlights the extreme vulnerability of Somali communities to climate-related shocks and the pressing need for proactive intervention to prevent the loss of life and livelihoods across the region.